The Adjustment Range Of Cotton Planting In Southern Xinjiang Is Larger Than That In Northern Xinjiang.

It is understood that the proportion of cotton replanting and rebroadcasting in the three cotton regions of Korla, Akesu and Kashi in southern Xinjiang is not high, and the overall cotton planting area continues to decline.

On the one hand, low temperature, strong wind and sand and hail weather occur from mid May to early June. Although the early maturing varieties can be rebroadcast and replanted, considering the low accumulated temperature and excessive rainfall this year, it is not conducive to the germination and breaking of cotton seedlings. In addition, it is expected that the frost period or early arrival in late September of this year will be a substitute for corn, wheat or other cash crops in order to avoid the risk of cotton planting.

On the other hand, farmers' expectation of seed cotton purchase price in 2016/17 is not high. Based on the current reserve cotton price and market spot price, it is unlikely that the comprehensive acquisition cost of grade 3128 cotton will be higher than that of 12500 yuan / ton in the next year. The cotton seed purchase price of 40% lint is lower than that of 5.20 yuan / kg, and the grain yield is expected to be higher than that of cotton planting.

Some foreign businessmen, Futures Company and cotton enterprises think that the reduction of cotton planting area in southern Xinjiang in 2016 was 8-10%, the growth rate of long staple cotton area was lower than expected, the area of machine picked cotton was not enlarged obviously, and the adjustment range of cotton planting in southern Xinjiang was larger than that in Northern Xinjiang.

On the 12-14 day of June, the price of lint on each platform in the southern Xinjiang was sparse. On the one hand, there were few cotton lint resources in local ginning factories or regiments, and most of them were repeatedly selected by the cotton manufacturers and operators in the mainland for low grade.

On the other hand, since June, both inside and outside of Xinjiang

Spot prices stabilized at a high level, although there was a lack of support for the paction. However, driven by the persistent strength of the cotton reserve price, the rebound of the cotton contract in recent months and the cost of lint cotton reached 13300-13500 yuan / ton, the spot price was in a dilemma.

The gross weight of the original single check of hand picked cotton 3128C2 (2128C2) and 3128B2 (2128B2) level is 12500-12700 yuan / ton, 12800-13000 yuan / ton respectively, and the northern Xinjiang Group's hand picked cotton 3128 level Henan, Hubei and Shandong's inland hucking price is 13000 yuan / ton.

The factors restricting the sale of Xinjiang cotton in 2015/16 are due to various factors.

The cotton merchants' surplus resources are few and the quality difference is large. Buyers worry about the influence of spinning and cotton quality and stability; two, local cotton enterprises are still selling according to the original single check and the original gross weight, but most of them are more than half a year from the processing period, and the quality and weight loss are inevitable. Some spinning enterprises and traders hope to recheck and take the weight of the warehouse as the standard, but most of the cotton enterprises will not accept it.